Democrats' advantage in midterm election support shrinking

Democrats' advantage in midterm election support shrinking

New Jersey voters overwhelmingly preferred to have a Democrat rather than a Republican representing them in the U.S. House, and the unpopularity of President Donald Trump and the GOP tax plan were major reasons, according to a poll released Monday.

The Post-ABC poll also showed a slight uptick in President Donald Trump's approval rating as well, with 40% approving and 56% disapproving of how he is handling his job. Almost 68 percent of both Republican-leaning and Democratic-leaning registered voters say they are certain they will vote in November elections, which contrasts with the Post-ABC polling before the 2010 and 2014 midterm cycles. Democrats won the statewide House vote by 8 points (53 percent to 45 percent) in 2016 and by just 2 points (50 percent to 48 percent) in the 2014 midterm, according to the Monmouth University Polling Institute.

4 of those five GOP-held chairs are CNN critical Races, together with just one listed within the leaning Democratic category, two because toss-ups and you as very likely Republican.

Among other results, the poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates, finds more than three-quarters of Americans looking for a congressional candidate who agrees with them on gun policy.

"Not only are New Jersey Democrats doing better on the generic House ballot statewide, but the shift is coming nearly entirely from districts now held by the GOP", Murray said.

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The new survey points to opportunities and challenges for both parties in coming months. Democrats are counting on strong turnout among women to help their candidates in November.

Although public activism has put pressure on Republicans and the National Rifle Association, the Post-ABC poll suggests that neither party holds an advantage in support among the 42 percent of voters who say it's "extremely important" that a congressional candidate share their views on the issue. That includes roughly equal numbers on both sides of the issue - whether they prioritize enacting new laws to reduce gun violence or protecting the right to own guns. Among registered voters, 76 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents see Pelosi negatively, surpassing her positive score among Democrats and Democratic leaners by 19 points. Our leaders, Democratic and Republican, need to work together once again for the good of the people they are elected to serve.

Democrats have a 19-point lead over Republicans in the generic House ballot among registered voters in the state, according to a Monmouth University poll. Among Republicans, she is well-known and widely disliked, with 74 percent holding unfavorable views of her, 63 percent strongly. Among a broader group of voting-age adults, the Democrats' margin is 10 points, 50 percent to 40 percent.

The poll of 703 New Jersey adults, including a subset of 632 registered voters, was conducted from April 6 to April 10.

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