K'taka polls: Politicos of various parties show confidence of winning elections

K'taka polls: Politicos of various parties show confidence of winning elections

Sudhir Krishnaswamy, political analyst and faculty at the Azim Premji University raised doubts on the findings of Karnataka exit polls as they had not shared their sample size, stratification, method of administration, questions posed or how it was recorded. I will give it in writing.

Indian voters queue to cast their ballots in the Karnataka Legislative Assembly Elections at a polling station in Bangalore.

Times Now VMR predicted the BJP getting 86, the Congress 96, JD-S 35 and others 3 while Republic TV-Jan ki bat predicted 104 seat for the BJP, 77 for the Congress, 37 for the JD-S and two for others. These are my figures. My calculation has never went wrong as I have travelled across the state and studied the pulse of the people. It had drawn ridicule from Mr Siddaramaiah, who had called the 75-year-old "mentally disturbed".

Karntaka Chief Minister Siddaramaiah has said that Congress will get absolute majority and he will win from both the constituencies, he contested from. The Congress knows that it will lose.

A hung Assembly will throw up interesting possibilities. The illegal mining controversy, apart from causing huge losses to the state exchequer and irreparable environmental damage, led the collapse of the BJP government.

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Out of eight exit polls that were conducted on May 12 after the elections, six of them predicted BJP as the single largest party while only two favoured Congress. Notably, Kumaraswamy is the chief ministerial candidate of the JD (S).

However, the poll of polls show BJP could win 99 seats followed by 88 of Congress and 33 by JD (S). The support of Janata Dal Secular of former Prime Minister Deve Gowda, the polls have predicted, will be crucial for government formation by either party. Relying on a poll of polls is like a person who can't swim crossing a river on foot relying on a statistician who told him the average depth of the river is 4 feet.

Karnataka has an electorate of over 4.97 crores, including 2.52 crore men and 2.45 crore women. Some polls are still showing the mixed response and you can check India Today-Axis My India exit poll, News24 with Chanakya exit poll and others. "We are coming back (sic)", he said in a tweet.

Also, some said that the exit polls aren't true and the truth will come out on Tuesday when the election commission will count the voting and tell the result to the whole nation.

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