A Mild Winter Is Headed Our Way, says NOAA

A Mild Winter Is Headed Our Way, says NOAA

The organization's predictive maps placed ME in a sweeping band of orange, signifying that center forecasters believe the state is among those with a 40 percent to 50 percent chance of being "warmer than normal".

Kentucky has equal chances for both above and below average temperatures according to NOAA's outlook. During the winter, typical El Nino conditions in the USA can include wetter-than-average precipitation in the South and drier conditions in parts of the North.

No place in the United States is expected to be colder than normal, said Mike Halpert, deputy director of the government's Climate Prediction Center.

El Nino is an ocean-atmosphere climate interaction that is linked to periodic warming in sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific.

NOAA's Climate Prediction Center has released its Winter Outlook, which found that in December and February much of the United States will see above-average temperatures and that there's a 70 to 75 percent chance of El Nino developing. The WYMT Weather team will have their 2018-2019 Winter Outlook for Eastern Kentucky on Tuesday, November 20th. During the winter, typical El Nino conditions in the US can include wetter-than-average precipitation in the South and drier conditions in parts of the North.

In fact, Halper said, nowhere in the U.S.is expected to be colder than normal; continuing a national trend over the past several years.

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Drought conditions are forecast to stay put this winter in the Southwest, Southern California, central Great Basin, central Rockies, Northern Plains and portions of the interior Pacific Northwest.

There's a lot more than just an El Nino pattern that determines how winter will play out. Northern Florida and southern Georgia have the greatest odds for above-average precipitation during the winter, the NOAA said.

But North and SC, along with much of the southeast and Mid-Atlantic, the Tennessee Valley and Ohio Valley, "all have equal chances for below-, near- or above-average temperatures", NOAA said.

For those looking for snowfall projections, you won't find those in NOAA's winter outlook.

As for that other big winter factor - snow - Halpert says the weather service has no prediction for Maine.

"Even on a warming planet", he said, "it doesn't mean winter goes away and it's never cold again".

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