US Elections: Referendum on Trump’s presidency? - Rabobank

US Elections: Referendum on Trump’s presidency? - Rabobank

President Trump claimed Monday he is not concerned about House Democrats obtaining and releasing his tax returns if they win the House majority in Tuesday's midterm elections.

(He has already done this to some degree, even though Democrats have no control over any branch of government.) Trump has fulfilled some promises, but key ones and far-fetched ones such as the border wall (not to mention making Mexico pay for it) remain improbable even if Republicans keep control of the House and Senate.

Anxious Republicans privately expressed confidence in their narrow Senate majority but feared the House was slipping away.

A debate about whether Trump's biting rhetoric encouraged extremists erupted in the campaign's final weeks after pipe bombs were mailed to his top political rivals allegedly by a Trump supporter who was arrested and charged, and 11 people were fatally shot at a Pittsburgh synagogue. He added: "The Democrat agenda is a socialist nightmare". The Senate is a different matter.

Since the midterm elections start on Tuesday, Trump is giving three speeches around the country as part of his final crunch to motivate voter turnout.

Trump campaigned in Indiana Monday, just three days after his last visit, in a desperate effort to take down a Democratic incumbent here.

The Republicans, however, enjoyed a four-in-five chance of retaining control of the Senate, according to the website.

Democrats need to win a net total of 23 seats to retake the House of Representatives.

That worked for Trump in his own shock 2016 election victory. "Because at that point we're all in it together or it's not going to happen". Chief among them is that Democrats could leverage their newfound subpoena power to investigate his administration.

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It includes 35 senator positions and 36 state governors as well as all 435 members of the House of Representatives.

Sean Trende of RealClearPolitics also had some possible good news for the GOP, noting, "There really are believable scenarios that don't require Republicans to win districts that they have written off. Republicans have to catch some breaks, but they don't have to catch breaks in ways that shock and surprise us". "It's an awakening of the Democratic Party". Others have pledged to pursue impeachment, although removal from office is unlikely so long as the GOP controls the Senate or even maintains a healthy minority.

Democrats' fate depends upon a delicate coalition of infrequent voters - particularly young people and minorities - who traditionally shun midterm elections.

U.S. tech companies are stepping up security and efforts to fight disinformation campaigns to prevent online troublemakers from trying to divide voters and discredit democracy. Polling suggests the Republican coalition is increasingly older, whiter, more male and less likely to have a college degree.

Democrats boast record diversity on the ballot.

The GOP now has 51 Senate seats compared to the Democrats' 49. It would prove even more hard for the White House to push critical legislation through Congress if the Democrats manage to win the House and the Senate.

"We can not react to some abstract cybersecurity analysts because we do not know who they are and whether they understand anything about cybersecurity", Dmitry Peskov told reporters. The demographic shifts also reflect each party's closing argument. Immigration is a key issue in the upcoming United States midterm elections.

Support for the president has not, however, automatically translated into support for Republicans.

Democrats, meanwhile, have beat their drum on health care. Former President Barack Obama was in his words "shellacked" in 2010 and went on to win re-election in 2012. "And especially in the House where a simple majority gives you nearly absolute power to again set the agenda and get bills across the floor". Will Trump still be President?

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